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Taking Losses - Marcus Padley | |
If you are making a loss, read this list. You will have sold before you get to the bottom.
I was working for a Japanese broking house in London in 1987 when the stockmarket collapsed. The principal trading book (the broker’s own money traded in the markets by a team of professional traders) started bleeding as the traders responsible tried to trade themselves out of loss-making positions and did even more damage in the process. After a few months the head of the trading desk told them to close out everything even if it was in loss. Having done that he then sent four traders on holiday for a month. To stop them trading. He told them to go and play golf. They did. These moves saved the firm a fortune.
Walking away from a loss-making trade is very hard to do, but hanging on in hope is perhaps the biggest sin of all. So why is it so hard to take a loss?
One academic study into behavioural finance once put up a theory that, true or not, makes a convincing stab at explaining it.
The theory goes that losses have three times the emotional impact of a gain. We react more emotionally to losing money than making it. It is why markets fall three times faster than they rise. Because fear is a more powerful trigger for action than greed. When it comes to selling, it’s the quick or the dead. When it comes to buying , you can take your time.
Emotion is a problem for all private investors. When you are physically sweating at your loss, when you are concerned that this one is so big you can’t tell your spouse, are you in any fit state to be making a rational decision?
No. So you need rules and mechanisms to eliminate the confusion and to make the decision for you. To do what we are all so bad at. Taking a loss.
Brokers live through this “shall I take the loss?” debate with their clients every day so we have developed arguments to persuade our clients to do the sensible thing (for some reason the same arguments don’t seem to work on ourselves).
If ever you are having trouble taking a loss, if ever you are not enjoying your trading, are getting emotional and the stock is still in your possession, read this list. You will have put on a ‘sell’ order before you get to the end.
You will find that loss-taking is a rather cleansing experience.
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Marcus Padley is a stockbroker with Patersons Securities and author of sharemarket newsletter Marcus Today. For a free trial, go to www.marcustoday.com.au
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