Determining Market Reversals and Continuations
Trend lines are perhaps the oldest tools known to chartists.
Trend lines form across peaks and valleys called pivot points -
relative highs and lows in a chart. As more points form along a
line, it becomes more "established". This means that, when the
line is broken, it will likely follow through with a strong move
in the new direction.
Trend
lines are normally drawn across the lows for an upward trend and
the highs for a downward trend. They can be used in multiple
ways to help analyze a security, but the two most common ways
are to look for trend line breaks or trend line reversals.
Trendline
breaks help us identify when a security is reversing. The better
established a trend line is (the more touches of the line by
price), the more significant a decisive move through this line
is to traders. If a trend line break is accompanied with another
significant reversal pattern (turn against support or
resistance, a breakaway gap, volume climax, etc.) it is further
testament to the likelihood of a reversal in trend.
Trendline
reversals help us identify a continuation of the current trend.
Once price moves to the trend line and then reverses against it
(as opposed moving through as in trend line breaks), we can
assume that the current trend will continue. Other continuation
chart patterns that identify continuation moves are
consolidations, measured (or continuation) gaps, and volume
trends.
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