Using Retracement Levels in Your Trading
Leonardo Fibonacci da Pisa was a thirteenth century
mathematician who (re) discovered what is today known as the
Fibonacci sequence. Adding 1+1 and then continuing to add the
sum to the previous number will arrive at this numerical
sequence. The sequence gives rise to the following numbers: 1,
1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55 and so on.
Ratios of these numbers to each other give us
important values: 62%, 50% and 38%. The prevalence of these
ratios can be found all around us - from the double helix of DNA
to spiral galaxies! The pioneering work of traders like W.D.
Gann and R.N Elliott also showed that these ratios are prevalent
in the financial markets. While there are many uses for these
ratios in technical analysis, we are going to concentrate today
on Fibonacci Retracement Levels.
Many technicians have noted that markets tend
to reverse or consolidate once they reach one of these ratio
levels (measured from the distance of the previous trends
reversal). They can used as entry levels, exit levels and even
as a money management tool (as in OmniTrader's Eighth Tool).
To identify Fibonacci Retracement Levels, you
must first identify the latest peak and valley in the securities
chart. Once this is done, you can measure 3/8ths, 4/8ths and
5/8ths of the distance from valley to peak (or vice versa if you
are looking at a short position). In OmniTrader, there two tools
that help you do this. The Fibonacci Retracement Tool will try
and identify the latest peaks and valleys and then show you
where these important levels are located. The Eight's Tool in
OmniTrader allows you to draw across the latest peaks and
valleys yourself and then see how that trend divides into
eighths.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels are one of the
most powerful (and underused) tools available to traders. These
measurements are of great use with any market that is reasonably
liquid.
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Broadcom shows a nice example of a reversal at 62% of the
previous trend
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Another 62% reversal example for AMKR
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SAP shows a nice turn at the 50% retracement level
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